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Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
We grinded away a small profit last weekend (2-1-1) and it could’ve been sweeter if the stumbling Buffalo Bills got one more fourth-quarter stop against those Undertaker-esque Philadelphia Eagles.
Oh well.
As for this weekend, I’ve got four college football bets and two NFL plays. Remember, this space isn’t the place for a million picks or five-team parlays, either. These will always be the games I love the most.
Let’s go to work.
Georgia Bulldogs (-5.5, O/U 55.5) vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Nick Saban is 10-1 in SEC Championships.
If you don’t believe me, look it up.
Saban’s Tide fell to Tim Tebow’s Florida team in 2008, and aside from that game, it’s been pure dominance on this stage. Saban has also won 16 straight games in the city of Atlanta per Peter Burns of the SEC Network.
Alabama is playing much better football than it was in September, which shouldn’t be a surprise given how the last 25 years have played out. Georgia is legit, but Alabama’s defense is the best unit the Dawgs will see to date.
This feels like a 27-24 final either way.
PICK: Alabama (+5.5) to lose by fewer than 5.5 points (or win outright)
PICK: Under 55.5 points scored by both teams combined
Florida State Seminoles (-1, O/U 46.5) vs. Louisville Cardinals
It’s time to buy low on the ‘Noles.
If you listen to “Bear Bets” with Chris and Geoff, you’ll know I’m not high on Florida State in the big picture, especially when you compare it to Michigan, Georgia and Oregon. But Louisville isn’t anywhere close to those powerhouses. Anywhere I say.
For me, it’s about the number. This line was nearly a touchdown when the ACC Championship market first opened, and now we’re at Florida State -1 and -1.5. That’s way, way too much of an overcorrection.
FSU has three defensive studs in the front seven that you’ll see playing on Sundays soon, and it shouldn’t matter if Tate Rodemaker…
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Publish date : 2023-12-01 23:05:15
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