What should we question from the 2023 NFL season?

It was a frustrating season for fantasy managers who bought into the Falcons’ hype. (Photo by Todd Kirkland/Getty Images)

A simple look at a box score or a study of fantasy categories doesn’t always tell the whole story of how a player is performing. Dalton Del Don attempts to identify misleading numbers that are worth a closer look.

Yes … The Numbers Do Lie.

Garrett Wilson’s season was a lie

Wilson saw the third-most targets and finished second in air yardage share this season, but 38 wide receivers averaged more fantasy points.

The difference between Wilson’s expected fantasy points per game (17.8) and actual fantasy ppg (9.7) was by far the widest among all players this season. He scored just three touchdowns despite ranking top-10 in red-zone targets and sporting the fourth-highest end-zone target share (44%).

Wilson is one of the best wideouts in the league, as Aaron Rodgers’ immediate season-ending injury was the culprit for all this.

Zach Wilson had the worst EPA/dropback, while Trevor Siemian had the lowest completion percentage above expectation. Wilson racked up the fifth-most unrealized air yards this season, as the Jets got the worst quarterback play in the league; only the Panthers managed fewer yards per play despite New York having stars at wide receiver and running back.

G. Wilson was on pace to record 100+ catches, 1,200+ yards and 11 touchdowns with Joe Flacco as his QB last season, revealing what could’ve been in 2023 as well as what’s to come. There’s concern with Rodgers’ age and recovery from a serious injury in 2024, but Wilson is going to be a top-five fantasy WR with a competent quarterback.

Bijan Robinson’s & Drake London’s seasons were lies

Robinson had a solid rookie campaign but disappointed while finishing outside the top 15 RBs in fantasy points per game after being taken in the first round of many drafts. He saw strong usage as a receiver, but Arthur Smith frustrated fantasy managers while barely giving the rookie back 200…

Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/the-fantasy-football-numbers-do-lie-what-should-we-question-from-the-2023-nfl-season-162902048.html

Author : Yahoo Sports

Publish date : 2024-01-09 16:29:02

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