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Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
Wild card weekend is upon us!
Twelve teams, six games over three days of NFL action — there’s no better weekend on the NFL slate.
With playoff games come tighter lines and fewer options for wagers, with only a handful of games. Nonetheless, I’ve found three wagers I like for this weekend.
Let’s dive into my best bets for the wild-card round.
Miami Dolphins @ Kansas City Chiefs (8 p.m. ET Saturday, Peacock)
A Chiefs game total has not gone over 44 points since they lost to the Packers six weeks ago. The 27 points the Chiefs allowed in that game was a season high for a K.C. defense that’s Super Bowl caliber. Chiefs games have gone Under because their offense has been stuck in the mud for months and, while everyone defaults to “The Chiefs offense will figure it out with Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid,” the evidence would point to that not happening. Drops, inconsistency in protection and injuries aren’t changing now.
What does help the Chiefs offense is the Dolphins missing the majority of their roster at edge rusher, but I’m not sure if it’s enough to add an extra touchdown to the Chiefs.
The Dolphins are going to struggle to score in this game. For starters, the weather is miserable for Saturday night. Temperatures with wind chill in the negatives does not bode well for the Dolphins passing attack. Tua Tagovailoa is not a quarterback with a powerful arm that can cut through wind like some of his peers. They will need to rely on the ground game which eats clock.
Also worth noting, the Dolphins offense only scored 14 points against the Chiefs in their first contest this season.
I like the Under to hit in this game.
PICK: Under 44 points scored by both teams combined
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8:15 p.m. ET Monday, ABC/ESPN)
The Eagles are not playing good football right now.
They started the season 10-1 and finished 11-6, with a less than…
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Publish date : 2024-01-11 18:16:28
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