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When it comes to my picks for the wild-card round, I didn’t have a great week, but I also didn’t choke as hard as the Cowboys did, so I’m not going to get too down on myself.
I went 3-3 straight-up, which wasn’t ideal, but I slightly canceled that out by going 4-2 against the spread. I was clearly overthinking things last week, which I can’t afford to do this week because the key to picking games in the divisional round is to not overthink anything, Of course, that could be a problem for me because, as we learned last week, I overthink everything. I mean, I still think about the ending of “Titanic” and I haven’t seen that movie in 19 years. DID ROSE DIE OR WAS IT A DREAM!? That’s my Roman Empire. I can’t stop thinking about it.
The reason you don’t want to overthink things in the divisional round is because the home team usually dominates. Over the past 10 years, home teams have gone 29-11. That means we’re getting an average of roughly one upset per year, which means I should probably pick at least one upset this week. On the other hand, maybe I shouldn’t stick with what history tells me to do because NFL history also told me that first-time playoff quarterbacks are usually horrible and that the seventh-seed never wins in the playoffs, but both of those things turned out to be wrong in the wild-card round.
I literally just told myself not to overthink my picks this week and here we are, one paragraph later, and I’m already overthinking them. So will I actually pick any upsets this week? Let’s get to the picks and find out.
Actually, before we get to the picks, here’s a quick reminder that you can check out the weekly picks from every CBSSports.com NFL expert by clicking here. If you click over, you’ll notice that CBS Sports NFL Draft guru Ryan Wilson dominated us all by going 5-1 both straight-up and against the spread during the wild-card round. Wilson had the worst picks…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2024-nfl-divisional-round-playoff-picks-bills-beat-chiefs-in-thriller-texans-shock-ravens-49ers-top-packers/
Author : John Breech
Publish date : 2024-01-16 15:15:52
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