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Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
Boy, was NFL wild-card weekend wild.
Bettors backing the Cowboys and the Eagles — squads that were both favorites last week — were unpleasantly surprised as both NFC East teams suffered embarrassing losses.
Ouch.
We now move on to the Divisional Round.
One of these games that I’m wagering on is extra special to me (more on that in just a second).
The other game that I’m including in my picks — well, let’s just say the jury is still out, so I’m going with player props instead.
Let’s dive into my best bets for this weekend’s games.
Green Bay Packers @ San Francisco 49ers (8:15 p.m. ET Saturday, FOX and FOX Sports app)
The Green Bay Packers upset the Dallas Cowboys as 7-point road favorites and now get the pleasure of going to San Francisco to face the top-seeded 49ers. This will be a battle between historically relevant NFC franchises, and this matchup brings back childhood nostalgia for me of watching the Niners in the 90s.
I’m excited about this one.
The Packers have been outstanding since Week 10. That’s when their offense finally found its footing. In case you didn’t know, let me be the first to inform you that the Packers have the youngest offense in the NFL. And that young offense has improved throughout the season dramatically.
Since Week 10, the Packers offense ranks third in DVOA and fourth in expected points added with Jordan Love under center. Green Bay is legitimately good when it comes to offense.
However, the opposite is true of its defense. That unit has been awful.
The Packers defense ranks 28th in defensive DVOA and 25th in EPA per play. Remember, Green Bay allowed 30 points to the Panthers in Week 16. Those 30 points were given up to a Panthers offense that didn’t score for the remaining eight quarters of the season.
So with that, I’m taking the 49ers team total over 30.5.
The 49ers offense is well-rested and healthy after sitting out this…
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Publish date : 2024-01-17 19:20:45
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