2024 NFL odds: Can Buccaneers keep underdog hot streak going vs. Lions?

Baker Mayfield and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in the midst of a unique streak heading into Sunday’s NFC divisional game at Detroit.

Although the Buccaneers are 6.5-point underdogs, it likely won’t faze them, considering Tampa has won four games in a row straight up (SU) as the underdog, including Monday’s 32-9 wild-card win at Philadelphia.

Can Tampa Bay make it five wins in a row as the underdog?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

TB

+6.5

+229

o48.5

Detroit Lions

DET

-6.5

-283

u48.5

What does history say about the Bucs’ chances to cover the spread?

According to FOX Sports Research, since the 2014 season, underdogs are 18-17-1 against the (ATS) and 11-25 SU in the divisional round.

Here’s Tampa Bay’s results in their four-game win streak as underdogs:

12/10/23: Buccaneers (+1.5) 29, Falcons 25
12/17/23: Buccaneers (+4) 34, Packers 20
12/24/23: Buccaneers (+2.5) 30, Jaguars 12
1/15/24: Buccaneers (+3) 32, Eagles 9

In FOX Sports’ weekly “Talk the Line” feature, betting analysts Geoff Schwartz and Sam “Sammy P” Panayotovich discussed the Bucs being a 6-point underdog at the time.

“This may float up a bit to 6.5 in the next day or so, but I truly believe the appetite to bet on Tampa Bay’s aggressive defense will grow later in the week. Don’t be surprised if we see some 5.5s closer to kickoff,” Sammy P said.

“Also, Detroit just gave up 357 passing yards against the Rams and escaped with a win. Good luck against Mike Evans, Chris Godwin & Co.”

RELATED: Talk the Line: Early NFL divisional round thoughts

Schwartz said Mayfield will be the difference.

“The Lions‘ pass defense is not good, and the Bucs will be able to keep it close or backdoor cover with their passing attack. The Tampa Bay defense…

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Publish date : 2024-01-17 17:08:44

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