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Jason McIntyre
Co-Host of THE HERD and FOX Sports Betting Analyst
It’s the NFL’s conference championship week, and we are down to the last three games of the football season.
The divisional round was a push for me as I went 3-3, bringing my season tally to 59-43-2.
I have seven picks on deck for this week’s pair of title games, so there is plenty of opportunity for us to win some extra cash as we get ready for the Super Bowl.
Without further ado, let’s dive into my best bets for the NFC and AFC championship games.
All times ET
Chiefs @ Ravens (3 p.m., CBS)
I took a small piece of KC +3.5 when the line came out, but I like the Ravens to win the game.
Yes, Patrick Mahomes is 13-1 in the postseason against QBs not named Tom Brady. And yes, the Chiefs played their most complete game of the season last week on the road against a beat-up Bills defense.
Kansas City Chiefs
KC
+4.0
+169
o44.5
Baltimore Ravens
BAL
-4.0
-204
u44.5
But, If you like K.C. here, it’s either due to recency bias after the win in Buffalo or because it’s Mahomes in an underdog role. It can’t be because of the season-long metrics — those all favor the Ravens.
The Chiefs offensive success in the playoffs came against middling defenses — 19th (Miami Dolphins) and 11th (Buffalo Bills) in DVOA — and they now must face No. 1 on the road.
To make matters worse for K.C., Baltimore is getting CB Marlon Humphrey back from injury. Sure, he’s been hurt this season and hasn’t played at the level of prior years, but his return gives them flexibility to move Kyle Hamilton around. The rookie is a Swiss Army Knife who can match up with Rashee…
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Publish date : 2024-01-26 19:51:39
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