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Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
The Super Bowl is set!
The Kansas City Chiefs face the San Francisco 49ers in a rematch of Super Bowl LIV, and I feel strongly about who I’m picking to win this game almost two weeks out.
I’ll keep it short: It’s Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.
Let me share with you my why.
San Francisco 49ers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, Feb. 11, 6:30 p.m. ET
Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, CBS
The two weeks between conference championship Sunday and the Super Bowl will be filled with breakdowns of position groups, individual matchups, coaches and everything in between.
I will keep it simple for now — I can wager on Mahomes or Brock Purdy.
The quarterback position is the most important in sports, and, outside of a few outliers (Nick Foles in Super Bowl LII), the far more talented quarterback usually hoists the Lombardi Trophy.
Mahomes is an underdog again, and he will win outright in that spot again for the 10th time in 13 career games. More importantly, for bettors, he will cover for the 11th time in 13 games as an underdog.
It will just be all-time stuff from Mahomes.
Make no mistake, though, the Chiefs also have other advantages worth exploring.
Kansas City’s offense has pivoted into featuring a downhill rushing attack to balance out the occasional woes of the passing game.
As discussed heading into the Lions game, the 49ers struggle to stop the run. San Francisco’s defense has taken a step back from the perception of what we believe it to be.
The Packers moved the ball. The Lions moved the ball. The Cardinals moved the ball on it in Week 16.
The Chiefs will be able to do just that against the 49ers. San Francisco’s defense is static before 80% of snaps, tops in the NFL. That is not going to cut it against Kansas City’s offense.
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Source link : https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/early-49ers-chiefs-2024-nfl-super-bowl-lviii-best-bets
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Publish date : 2024-01-30 14:23:27
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