Hit parade – The NHL’s hits adjustment and the players who benefit

Sean Allen, Special to ESPN.comFeb 13, 2024, 03:00 PM ET

CloseSean Allen is a fantasy analyst for ESPN.com. He was the 2008 and 2009 Fantasy Sports Writers Association Hockey Writer of the Year. You can tweet him @seanard.

Stat corrections can be a painful experience in the fantasy realm. But I haven’t seen one like this before.

On Monday, Feb. 7, the NHL added 6,826 hits to the statistics generated by players this season (and, for the record, they removed two hits) as part of a sweeping “hits audit” that is now reflected as the new official record.

For fantasy leagues, these hits aren’t going to count. The ESPN game has a grace period for stat corrections that runs for seven days after a game, but some of the hits doled out by the audit go all the way back to the first game of the season.

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While 6,826 hits works out to 682.6 missed fantasy points this season, it’s not as much as it appears at first blush. Only 2,684 of the hits were attributed to skaters among the top 250 for total fantasy points this season, which works out to 1.1 point per player, which works out to 0.06 fantasy points per player per scoring period. That’s not going to make you feel better if you lost Week 14 by just 0.1 points to a team that started Matt Roy — but the odds are it would have worked out in your favor somewhere along the line, too.

It’s unfortunate that the stats weren’t just counted right the first time. And most of us are playing fantasy for fun/low stakes, so it’s not as rough as being someone playing prop bets on hits this season.

Still, this is not a fun exercise and it skews a few things for the remainder of the season for us, too. Projections are, after all, based on stats previously generated, so this changes things up a bit.

We are going to have a look at some of the players most impacted on by the hits audit and…

Source link : https://www.espn.com/fantasy/hockey/story/_/id/39519168/fantasy-hockey-nhl-hits-audit-category-specialists-eeli-tolvanen-jeremy-lauzon

Author : Sean Allen

Publish date : 2024-02-13 20:39:53

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