NFL season win totals are some of the most fun action to wager on — it’s a season-long gambit with week-to-week intensity because of how much every game matters for the final season record. With the explosion of legalized sports betting, win totals have been out for a while now, but we can’t really get crystallized and concrete numbers until the NFL schedule is released.
With the schedule out and every angle of the 2024 NFL season under full scrutiny, we can finally get down to the business of betting season-long win totals. I’ll revisit these in August before the season begins, but we’ll try and find some value earlier in the offseason.
I’m using DraftKings for win totals for ease of use, but you should absolutely shop around and get the best number, so let’s break them down division by division. Check the rest of the divisions here as they’re released:
Before we dive in, a couple quick notes. One, we’re picking every team but not betting every team. Two, any best bets will be denoted in bold, etc. Three, you should probably avoid actually betting on overs at this point because of how quickly injuries can flip the fortunes of NFL teams.
Let’s get to it.
NFC South
Over 9.5 (-135) / Under 9.5 (+115)
The aggressive Atlanta offseason brought with it high expectations. After the Falcons signed Kirk Cousins, they also invested in adding wide receivers Darnell Mooney and Rondale Moore to a depth chart already loaded with skill position guys in Bijan Robinson, Drake London and Kyle Pitts along with Zac Robinson calling plays for the offense. Michael Penix Jr. was a confusing draft pick but we can adjudicate that issue later. If Cousins is healthy after a late 2023 Achilles tear, there’s no reason this offense shouldn’t cook. Defensively, I trust Raheem Morris to get the most out of his new team, but adding an edge rusher instead of a backup quarterback might have benefited the Falcons more for…
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Author : Will Brinson
Publish date : 2024-05-30 13:30:25
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