2024 SEC win totals, odds, picks: Georgia eyes perfection, Texas poised to make strong first impression

The SEC occupies a wide spectrum of expectations as the league expands to 16 teams this season. For some, every season is national championship-or-bust and anything less constitutes a complete failure. Others are perfectly content with scraping by towards a bowl game, or even stringing together a couple conference wins amid a loaded slate of games. 

All viewpoints are completely valid and can change slightly from year to year, fueled by recent context and largely subjective perception. Those dead summer months between the end of spring practice and the start of fall camp can often stoke expectations as teams quietly prepare for the upcoming season. 

While there’s no metric that can truly encapsulate each team’s outlook, win total projections do provide some general insight into where things stand. Las Vegas attempts to set a performance bar for each team based on the roster construction and the coaching makeup, among other variables, and comparing those to the strength of the impending schedule. 

That process can give us some interesting numbers to analyze in the offseason. Win total projections certainly aren’t the gospel truth — at least a few teams will either far exceed or fall well short of the figure — but do they do give a good sense of the conference’s order. 

That’s especially relevant now that the SEC is welcoming new members to its ranks. With Texas and Oklahoma joining the fold, win totals serve as a general prediction as to how well they’ll perform against heightened competition. For Texas, at least, Vegas thinks the transition should go pretty well. 

Let’s take a look at each SEC team’s projected win total for the 2024 season and predict whether they’re more likely to hit the over or under. 

Over/under 9.5 wins

Wins:…