Which NHL teams added, or lost, most value this offseason?

Neil PaineJul 16, 2024, 07:45 AM ET

CloseNeil Paine writes about sports using data and analytics. Previously, he was Sports Editor at FiveThirtyEight.

The 2023-24 NHL offseason moves fast. Consider the following: The Florida Panthers had not yet even hoisted the Stanley Cup when the wheels of player movement were set in motion last month. Only recently has the leaguewide flurry of signings and trades started to slow down.

By now, though, just a few productive veterans — names such as Daniel Sprong, James van Riemsdyk and Kevin Shattenkirk — remain unsigned. So with most of this summer’s biggest dominoes having fallen, let’s do a little offseason accounting. Using last season’s goals above replacement (GAR) totals, we’ll be looking at the teams that picked up the most net value (from additions minus subtractions) via trades, free agent signings, retirements and other moves since the end of the 2023-24 regular season.

This won’t take into account rookies — so No. 1 draft pick Macklin Celebrini won’t have any previous GAR to contribute to the San Jose Sharks — but it should otherwise give a good sense for which teams boosted their talent base, and who will have to replace production from a year ago.

The Tampa Bay Lightning are a great case study in both areas, for example: They picked up Jake Guentzel from the Carolina Hurricanes in a trade, but they also said goodbye to captain and franchise icon Steven Stamkos. Between those and other moves, the Bolts came out pretty much exactly even on net GAR — ranking 16th out of 32 teams.

How do the other 31 teams grade out? Let’s unpack some of the teams at each end of the spectrum, and then reveal the full rankings:

Jump to:
Teams that added value | Teams that lost value
Full rankings for all 32 teams

Six teams that gained most value since last season

2023-24 GAR: 12.0 (31st) | Offense: minus-13.2 (32nd)
Defense: 18.6 (29th) | Goalies: 6.6 (23rd)

Top additions (GAR): F Teuvo Teravainen (12.3), G Laurent Brossoit (10.4), LW Tyler…

Source link : https://www.espn.com/nhl/insider/story/_/id/40568689/2024-nhl-teams-added-lost-value-offseason-trades-draft-free-agency-retirement

Author : Neil Paine

Publish date : 2024-07-16 12:47:16

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