ECR stands for “Expert Consensus Ranking,” which means the average rankings of the fantasy football industry and is typically similar to ADP (which differs from site-to-site). This ongoing positional serieswillhighlight some big differences between ECR and my own ranks.
[QBs I like more/less | RBs I like more | RBs I like less | WRs I like more]
Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals
ECR: WR3 vs. My Rank: WR4
I love Chase and rank him highly, but I’m slightly under his ECR. There’s certainly a bull case, as Chase may play more in the slot this season when the Bengals could pass more. However, when nitpicking/examining an important first-round pick, Chase has mild concerns as well, namely his quarterback and system.
Joe Burrow suffered a rare season-ending wrist injury last year no NFL QB has ever experienced before. He was having “good days and bad days” in May and still isn’t throwing three days in a row. Burrow has a sneaky extensive injury history, and he’s also become a check-down artist since opposing defenses started employing two-high safeties at a high rate. He ranked 38th in downfield passing rate in 2022 and 32nd in intended air yards per attempt last season, and reports out of Bengals camp suggest more of the same in 2024. He’s managed just 6.98 YPA since 2022 (26 games) while consciously throwing underneath far more.
Chase’s aDOT, yards per route run, yards per target and rate of explosive plays have all declined each of the last two seasons, so give me Justin Jefferson over him. Chase faces the Ravens, Steelers and Browns defenses 35% of his games, while Jefferson gets to play indoors.
Chase’s best season by yards per game (87.2) and yards per route run (2.51) would both be Jefferson’s worst season!
Tee Higgins is finally healthy, so the difference in target competition is dramatic. Moreover, Chase is currently “holding in” at Bengals camp as he awaits a contract extension that will reset the WR market. Take this exercise with a…
Source link : https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/fantasy-football-rankings-2024-wide-recivers-ranked-lower-than-expert-consensus-fades-172633983.html
Author : Yahoo Sports
Publish date : 2024-08-08 17:26:33
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