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Sep 8, 2012; College Station, TX, USA; General view of the line of scrimmage during a game between the Texas A&M Aggies and Florida Gators in the fourth quarter at Kyle Field. Florida defeated Texas A&M 20-17. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports
Florida football prepares to host the Texas A&M Aggies this Saturday in the Swamp to open up its 2024 Southeastern Conference schedule. While the Gators are underdogs going into the Week 3 matchup, the numbers have been pretty close.
At the beginning of the week, ESPN’s Bill Connelly released his SP+ picks for the third official weekend of college football, including the UF-TAMU game. His computer model projects a 56% chance of a win for the visitors, giving them a 2.5-point edge and a final score of 30-27.
Compare that with the spread for the game (3.5 points) and a Florida victory predicted by the ATS.
🍺🍻 WEEK 3 SP+ PICKS 🍷🥂
K-State 35, Zona 25
Bama 33, Wisconsin 15
LSU 31, SC 27
Mizzou 39, BC 16
Ducks 36, Beavers 23
UW 35, Wazzu 25
Irish 31, Boilers 20
UGA 38, Kentucky 26
Half the lines are within 3 points of SP+, so uh, good luck.https://t.co/w7ALlZmjBl pic.twitter.com/z21QqcKFwb
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) September 9, 2024
The Gators sit at No. 31 (9.9 rating) in the SP+ rankings coming into Saturday’s affair while the Aggies are No. 20 (14.9 rating).
About SP+ predictions
“SP+ is intended to be predictive and forward-facing,” according to ESPN. “It is not a résumé ranking that gives credit for big wins or particularly brave scheduling — no good predictive system is.
“It is simply a measure of the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football. If you’re lucky or unimpressive in a win, your rating will probably fall. If you’re strong and unlucky in a loss, it will probably rise.”
Next up for the Gators
Florida will host Texas A&M inside Ben Hill Griffin…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/espns-sp-prediction-gators-aggies-150032293.html
Author : Gators Wire
Publish date : 2024-09-13 15:00:32
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