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A simple look at a box score or a study of fantasy football categories doesn’t always tell the whole story of how a player is performing. Dalton Del Don attempts to identify misleading numbers that are worth a closer look.
Yes … The Numbers Do Lie.
Tank Dell’s 37 receiving yards are a lie
Dell has nearly as many rushing yards (35) as receiving through two weeks, but he’s a candidate to target in trades. Dell easily could’ve had a 67-yard touchdown last week, and he’s run routes on 66 of 77 C.J. Stroud dropbacks (leaving on some run plays). That 86% rate is right with Nico Collins’ 88%; the Texans have used 11 personnel 79% of the time this season with the addition of Stefon Diggs.
Houston figures to become more pass-happy with Joe Mixon dealing with an injury, and Dell scored more fantasy points than Collins when both were healthy and on the field together last season. Spike weeks are coming.
Chris Olave’s eight targets are a lie
Olave has somehow seen just one red-zone target despite New Orleans scoring 91 points over the first two weeks of the season. Lopsided (and long) scores and an incredibly efficient running game have contributed to Olave’s slow start, but the Saints’ new suddenly explosive offense is great news for him moving forward. Olave saw a 43% target share in Week 2, when he was tackled at the one-yard line. He sports the third-best average separation score of the year. The Saints have used 2-WR sets a league-high 90% of the time while leading the NFL in play action and fantasy points per route run.
New Orleans’ strong start doesn’t look like a fluke. Klint Kubiak’s dramatic increase in motion and play action is clearly benefitting Derek Carr, who’s no longer checking down as usual. Rashid Shaheed is breaking out and scoring all the WR fantasy points, but that’s come with a modest nine targets. Carr has attempted just 39 passes this season, which is the fewest among all healthy quarterbacks. Volume will soon increase when…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy-football-numbers-do-lie-tank-dell-brandon-aiyuk-breakout-coming-145159054.html
Author : Yahoo Sports
Publish date : 2024-09-19 14:51:59
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