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Vaughn Dalzell breaks down how to bet on Duke vs North Carolina, Colorado at UCF, Baylor and BYU, plus more!
#22 BYU at Baylor (-3): O/U 45.5
Baylor should have won last week but a Sheduer Sanders hail mary and a fumble on the goal line of their OT possession kept the Bears out of the win column in historic fashion. On the other sideline, BYU was a winner last weekend absolutely pummeling Kansas State as a home underdog.
BYU is 4-0 ATS this season, so most people will play them based on that or the fact they are riding high and ranked after beating Kansas State. However, ranked road teams that are pegged as an underdog against an unranked home team do not perform well, but there’s more.
I think BYU is being overvalued too and going on the road is no easy task. Digging deeper, BYU will change time zones early in the morning for a Big 12 game with a 12 ET kickoff in a PT time zone, which hasn’t boded well for BYU historically either (2-12 in the last 14-day games and lost the last 10 matinee games).
Give Baylor -3 at -120 odds on BetMGM out to -4. I lean toward the Bears in the first quarter to lead if you want to get in and get out of this game.
Pick: Baylor -3 (2u)
*odds courtesy of BetMGM
Colorado at UCF (-14.5): O/U 64.5
The Colorado offensive line hasn’t been that great this season, we know that, but they get a good matchup at UCF.
The Knights are a below-average team when it comes to pressure rate, ranking 77th, which is why they have two sacks on the season. UCF ranks 106th in blitz rate too, so Colorado could keep Shedeur Sanders clean, which is key since he ranks the 3rd-highest PFF grade in all of College Football when he has a clean pocket.
Colorado’s defense has improved since last year, but they have a challenging task with UCF’s No. 1 rushing attack (375 ypg). Both of these teams could move the ball offensively…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/college-football-best-bets-odds-023652105.html
Author : NBC Sports
Publish date : 2024-09-26 02:36:52
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