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Quarterback
Start: Geno Smith, Seahawks
The Seahawks have become the people’s passing attack since Week 1. Over the past three weeks, Seattle has a +10% pass rate over expected.
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They are also fifth in situational neutral pace over the past three weeks. Geno, in turn, has been lighting defenses up. He is 11th in EPA and ninth in CPOE and has topped 300 yards twice in the past three weeks. Vegas is buying this version of the Seahawks and has them with a 25-point team total, the fourth-highest of the week.
Start: Brock Purdy, 49ers
Purdy is pushing all of the buttons in Kyle Shanahan’s offense once again and is en route to another top-five season in EPA per play. The former Mr. Irrelevant has also upped his game in a number of areas, including when he’s pressured. Purdy has thrown three touchdowns with zero interceptions on pressured dropbacks. He had 11 touchdowns and six interceptions when pressured last year. Purdy is also running more. He has 75 yards on the ground.
That has him over halfway to his 2023 total of 144 yards after less than a quarter of the season. Purdy is taking some crucial next steps as a quarterback and gets to cut loose this week versus an Arizona defense that ranks 29th in EPA per dropback allowed.
Sit: Derek Carr, Saints
After two weeks of failure, Vegas has thrown in the towel on the Saints’ offense. Their team total of 18.75 points is tied with New England. Carr has 381 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions over his last two appearances. He ranks as the QB20 in EPA per play during that stretch. Now he gets a Chiefs defense that has given up more than one passing touchdown once this year.
Sit: Aaron Rodgers, Jets
Rodgers has played extremely well coming off his torn Achilles but is up against a buzzsaw Minnesota pass defense. They have given up the 20th-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, but that is fueled almost exclusively by Jordan Love’s frenetic comeback effort last week. Love threw for four scores—the…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy-football-week-5-start-173112733.html
Author : NBC Sports
Publish date : 2024-10-04 17:31:12
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