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Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
There are a few lingering questions in every bettor’s mind as we head into NFL Week 7.
Can the Saints keep up with the Broncos without Derek Carr? Will Russell Wilson lead Pittsburgh to a win if he gets the start instead of Justin Fields? Will the Panthers present a challenge to Jayden Daniels & Co.?
Lucky for you, I have the answers you’re looking for.
Let’s dive into my best bets for this weekend’s matchups.
THURSDAY, OCT. 17
Broncos @ Saints (8:15 p.m., Amazon Prime)
The New Orleans Saints are without quarterback Derek Carr and likely without receivers Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed. They’re coming off a short week, and now they face a Broncos defense that is very good.
I just don’t see how the Saints score points in this game.
Last weekend, the Saints scored 27 points, all in the second quarter and mostly in unsustainable ways. They had a punt return for a touchdown and then three short fields off tipped pass interceptions.
So, essentially, four scores off turnovers.
Otherwise, they scored zero points in the other three quarters, which included a few garbage-time drives.
The Broncos defense is carrying them right now. It is eighth in DVOA and fourth in scoring.
Give me Saints Under 17.5 points on Thursday night.
PICK: Saints team total Under 17.5 points scored
Herd Hierarchy: Bucs hop in, 49ers make their return in Colin’s Top 10 of Week 7
SUNDAY, OCT. 20
Panthers @ Commanders (4:05 p.m., CBS)
Last weekend was a reset in the NFL.
We had several weeks in which underdogs — especially those getting more than five points — were covering at a higher rate than usual.
Then, Week 5 happened.
That’s when all the bad teams finally actually looked bad. The Panthers, Raiders and Patriots all looked like the poor teams that they are in blowout losses.
I think that trend continues this weekend for Carolina.
The Panthers swapped out Bryce Young for Andy Dalton before…
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Publish date : 2024-10-16 19:54:03
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