2024 NFL Week 7 Best Bets: Take 49ers, Eagles to cover

Jason McIntyre

Co-Host of THE HERD and FOX Sports Betting Analyst

Feels like I’m back … kinda. 

I nailed two of my three picks last week, but of course, it was the Jets that let me down on Monday Night Football. 

Oh well. Let’s get back to our winning ways this week.

(All times ET)

SUNDAY, OCT. 20

Seahawks @ Falcons (1 p.m., FOX/FOX Sports App)

First bet I made this week, but I did so anticipating a better injury report than the Seahawks had the last two weeks. And initially, it was good! But here we are late in the week, and potential all-pro CB Tariq Woolen seems unlikely to play, as does No. 2 corner Tre Brown. Toss in backup RT Stone Forsythe trending towards not playing, and Seattle might be at a disadvantage. 

The good news is, Atlanta’s pass rush is toothless, ranking 30th in pressure rate. The Falcons are dead last in the NFL in sacks (5). Geno Smith should be able to have a field day from a clean pocket.

Atlanta has played in five one-score games, with the only blowout being over Carolina, but even that was a one-score game in the fourth quarter. The Falcons were -2.5 at home against the Saints and Tampa Bay, but now they’re laying more than that against a Seattle team that came into the season projected to be better than both of those?

The injuries could be a factor, obviously. If Woolen can’t play, Seattle is down to a rookie fifth-round pick at corner against Drake London. Not ideal. 

But the bet here is Seattle. Kirk Cousins remains an immobile QB, as 94% of his throws have come from the pocket, and Seattle’s pressure rate is 32%, third-best in the league. 

Smith picks apart this soft Atlanta zone, JSN has a big game and Seattle covers. 

Sprinkle a little on the money line.

PICK: Seattle (+3) to lose by fewer than 3 points, or win outright

Chiefs @ 49ers (4:25 p.m., FOX/FOX Sports App)

Let’s get the obvious stuff out of the way. 

Andy Reid, after a bye week in his career, has been incredible…

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Publish date : 2024-10-18 20:57:19

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