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Jason McIntyre
Co-Host of THE HERD and FOX Sports Betting Analyst
The slate of matchups for NFL Week 9 will feature a few teams that are banged up. At this point in the season unfortunately, that’s the name of the game.
And I’m here to fade a couple of those squads.
Considering we went 2-1 in. Week 7, you might want to take a look at where I’m putting my cash this
Let’s go!
(All times ET)
Sunday, Oct. 27
Packers @ Jaguars (1 p.m., FOX and FOX Sports App)
One of my first bets this week, and I’m having buyer’s remorse.
I took the Packers early in the week, and now the line’s moving against me. Perhaps some of it is the Packers overlooking a non-divisional opponent with the Lions on deck next week.
Also, do we know how the Packers are on the road?
They visited the Titans, but at that point, they had Malik Willis at starter. They went to the Rams and barely covered. It’s not that Jacksonville is a tough place to play, but it’s a sleepy spot for them after a nice win against Houston.
This is a play against Jacksonville’s predictable defense, which is on track to be the worst in franchise history.
The Jags rank 32nd in DVOA and near the bottom in several other categories. The Packers offense is healthy and ranks sixth in the NFL in YPP (6.1). Jordan Love eviscerates zone defenses; the Jaguars live in zone. The Packers should waltz to 30 points. Did you see how Joe Flacco put up 34 points against the Jaguars defense in Jacksonville?
Last point here is that road favorites were on an improbable 16-0 run before the Chargers lost Monday and then the Vikings on Thursday.
Markets are efficient and this will pull back.
PICK: Packers (-4) to win by more than 4 points
Can Tua’s return rescue the Dolphins’ season?
Cardinals @ Dolphins (1 p.m., FOX and FOX Sports App)
If you got the Dolphins -3 early in the week, anticipating that Tua would return at QB, you’re in great shape. Even at -4, I still like Miami…
Source link : https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/2024-nfl-week-8-best-bets-take-packers-dolphins-cover
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Publish date : 2024-10-25 21:41:46
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