Sam Panayotovich
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
“America’s Game of the Week” is shaping up to be a doozy.
Dan Campbell’s Detroit Lions hit the highway to face Matt LaFleur’s Green Bay Packers this Sunday afternoon at legendary Lambeau Field. You can watch the NFC North showdown on FOX and the FOX Sports app, with Kevin Burkhardt and Tom Brady on the call.
The Las Vegas betting line was Green Bay -1 back in the summer, but the number has jumped almost three points due to uncertainty around Packers quarterback Jordan Love.
Love strained his groin during Sunday’s win at Jacksonville and there’s no real update on his status.
That said, DraftKings Sportsbook is dealing Detroit -3.5 and O/U 48.
“Let’s see what happens with Love at practice,” professional bettor Adam Chernoff told FOX Sports. “He didn’t go (Wednesday) and I’m curious to see what happens Thursday and Friday. They have the bye on deck. Do they force him back or give him the extra week to repair himself and get ready for the stretch run? It’s still a little uncertain.
“I think the number in the market is a bit uncertain as well. This feels like a mid-hedge type of spot where it slightly leans toward Love not playing at the price. If Love is out, this is closer to Lions -4.5. If Love is in, I think we see Lions -1 or -1.5. We saw this as a pick ‘em [with Love expected to play on the lookahead line]. The initial adjustment from Love to Malik Willis was a little more than six points, but Willis is a lot better in this offense than we expected.
“I think it’s Lions -1/-1.5 with Love in and -4/-4.5 with Love out.
Ironically enough, the Packers are 2-0 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) this season when Willis starts under center. Wins and covers against the Colts and Titans might not seem extremely impressive in hindsight, but wins are tough to come by in the NFL.
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Publish date : 2024-11-01 13:43:12
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