NFL News NFL News, Reports and Updates
A simple look at a box score or a study of fantasy football categories doesn’t always tell the whole story of how a player is performing. Dalton Del Don attempts to identify misleading numbers that are worth a closer look.
Yes … The Numbers Do Lie.
DeAndre Hopkins’ WR57 rank is a lie
Hopkins is still tied with Jerry Jeudy in fantasy points per game even after his eruption last week thanks to being stuck in Tennessee’s offense for most of the season. Hopkins’ underlying metrics last season suggested he was far from finished, and he’s now Patrick Mahomes’ WR1 in an Andy Reid offense.
Hopkins has seen a 25% target per route run rate and has gotten 2.40 yards per route run while learning Kansas City’s offense on the fly over two games since joining the Chiefs. He already recorded the most receptions in a game by a KC wide receiver lined up outside since 2018. DHop’s route tree has grown in Kansas City, including the crucial ones over the middle. Rashee Rice is out for the season, and JuJu Smith-Schuster’s eventual return is no threat.
Hopkins has a tough matchup this week when lined up outside against Patrick Surtain II, but the 32-year-old suddenly has a chance to be a legit top-12 fantasy wide receiver down the stretch.
Deebo Samuel Sr.’s WR33 rank is a lie
Samuel Sr. has been a disappointment to fantasy managers, but he’s set up for a big second half if health cooperates. Samuel had gotten 4.88 YPRR with a 38% target share with Brandon Aiyuk off the field since 2021 before leaving the Dallas game early with a rib injury (he had seven targets). Those numbers aren’t sustainable, but they are staggering and suggest he can be a fantasy WR1.
Samuel was limited at Wednesday’s practice, but he says the 49ers are “all hands on deck” coming out of the bye. Samuel is due for TD regression playing on an offense that ranks bottom five in red-zone TD percentage after leading the league last year and now gets CMC back. He’s also looking at more volume with…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/the-fantasy-football-numbers-do-lie-why-deebo-samuels-wr33-rank-is-deceiving-160830952.html
Author : Yahoo Sports
Publish date : 2024-11-07 16:08:30
Copyright for syndicated content belongs to the linked Source.
