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Oct 26, 2024; Lexington, Kentucky, USA; Auburn Tigers head coach Hugh Freeze fives Auburn Tigers wide receiver Malcolm Simmons (11) during the second quarter against the Kentucky Wildcats at Kroger Field. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-Imagn Images
Auburn football will be heavily motivated when it returns to action on Nov. 16.
The Tigers, who enter this weekend with a 3-6 record, will need to win all three of its final games to earn bowl eligibility. Can they get the job done? ESPN analytics has taken a crack at forecasting the results of Auburn’s final stretch of games.
According to ESPN’s football power index, Auburn has a 3.9% chance to win every game over the next three weeks, which ranks No. 10 among SEC programs. Auburn, however, has a higher “win-out” percentage than LSU, Oklahoma, Florida, and Vanderbilt.
Breaking it down further, ESPN forecasts Auburn to win its next game over the ULM Warhawks, but fails to give the Tigers an advantage over its final two SEC foes, No. 16 Texas A&M and No. 11 Alabama.
Auburn has been given a 91.9% chance to beat ULM on Nov. 16 at Jordan-Hare Stadium to close out its nonconference slate. After starting 5-1, the Warhawks have dropped two straight games to South Alabama and Marshall and are projected to lose Saturday’s game to Texas State.
After facing ULM, Auburn will meet No. 16 Texas A&M at Jordan-Hare Stadium. The Aggies have a 61.7% chance to beat Auburn on Nov. 23 according to ESPN but the game could be a much closer affair. Texas A&M recently lost a 44-20 game to South Carolina on the road. With the game being at Jordan-Hare, Auburn has a chance to upset the Aggies and gain momentum heading into the Iron Bowl.
Finally, Auburn has a less-than-ten percent chance to upset No. 11 Alabama at Nick Saban Field on Nov. 30. ESPN gives Alabama a 90.4% chance to beat Auburn in the Iron…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/espn-forecasts-remainder-auburn-footballs-180031632.html
Author : Auburn Wire
Publish date : 2024-11-08 18:00:31
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