2024 NFL Week 10 Best Bets: Take Commanders, Lions to cover

Jason McIntyre

Co-Host of THE HERD and FOX Sports Betting Analyst

Another NFL week is on the horizon, which means we have another chance at winning some cash with our bets.

When I took a look at the Week 10 slate, there were three matchups that caught my eye. And in these games, I couldn’t help but give a leg up to the favorites.

One team, in particular, I couldn’t pass up on was Detroit. 

But keep reading because I make a pretty strong case for why I’m backing the Commanders and Niners to win and cover.

(All times ET)

Sunday, Nov. 10

STEELERS @ COMMANDERS (1 p.m., CBS)

The Steelers are going to be a rare public underdog on the road. Everything does line up for the Steelers here.

Can I interest you in some trends? 

Mike Tomlin versus rookie quarterbacks is 25-6! He’s a smart defensive coach. Mike Tomlin off a bye is 13-4. Give him an extra week to game plan? Say goodnight. Mike Tomlin as an underdog since Ben Roethlisberger retired? 20-9 against the spread (ATS).

You get the point.

You know what those numbers don’t take into account? Washington’s 2024 season. 

The Commanders have been the league’s best story, an offensive machine that has played 36 quarters and amazingly scored in 34 of them. They’re 11-for-11 on fourth down! 

It will be the best offense the Steelers have seen since the opener, when they faced gimpy Kirk Cousins. And how do you beat the terrific Pittsburgh pass rush led by T.J. Watt? You have to have a scrambling quarterback. Lamar Jackson has given the Steelers fits with his ability to get out of the pocket and pick up chunks of yardage. In four games against the Steelers, he’s registered 45, 55, 65 and 70 yards rushing. 

And since everyone likes trends — or loves to hate them — rookie QBs are 11-0 when favored this season.  The market can’t seem to catch up to the Commanders. 

PICK: Commanders (-2.5) to win by more than 2.5 points

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Publish date : 2024-11-08 19:51:05

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