Chiefs-Bills seeing two-way action, as Buffalo looks to conquer the inconquerable

Sam Panayotovich

FOX Sports Betting Analyst

Patrick Mahomes makes you money as an underdog.

Since taking over the reins from Alex Smith in Sept. 2018, Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs have been underdogs 14 times. They’re 11-3 straight up (SU) and a staggering 12-1-1 against the spread (ATS) during that span.

Is a 92% cover rate good?

Despite all that, the betting market has moved away from Kansas City in Sunday’s showdown against the Buffalo Bills. DraftKings Sportsbook actually opened K.C. -1 on the road, but Buffalo is as high as -2.5 on the screen.

“We opened Buffalo -2,” one Las Vegas bookmaker told FOX Sports. “We don’t care about being first to post. After the market settles, we go. And I’ll tell you what, our first limit bet came on Buffalo. That was a little surprising.”

The line has bounced around Bills -2/2.5 for most of the week, and multiple shops are ecstatic about the two-way action. After all, it’s easy to make a case for both teams. Plenty of people are willing to back Josh Allen & Co. as short home favorites, while others will blindly bet Mahomes as a ‘dog.

It’s tough to imagine the line getting any higher.

“Someone’s always willing to take a 3,” the bookmaker added.

Armed with the NFL’s second-highest point differential at +97, Buffalo is a perfect 4-0 at home this year with a season-opening 34-28 win over Arizona, a 37-point shellacking of Jacksonville, a 24-point win against lowly Tennessee and a squeaky 30-27 victory versus Miami.

Obviously, none of those teams are stronger than Kansas City, a squad Scott Van Pelt said last Monday was not unbeatable, but nobody can beat them.

Great line.

Will the Buffalo Bills finally end the Kansas City Chiefs’ undefeated streak in this pivotal matchup?

“Injury news for this game is going to have an impact,” professional bettor Adam Chernoff from Right Angle Sports told FOX Sports.

“It looks like Dalton Kincaid has a…

Source link : https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/chiefs-bills-seeing-two-way-action-buffalo-looks-conquer-inconquerable

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Publish date : 2024-11-14 20:47:04

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