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Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
Weather, weather, weather. That’s the theme for NFL Week 12 — at least when it comes to wagering on the Thursday night game.
And something else that I think bettors should be on the lookout for is a less energetic Lions team than we saw last week. Yes, I know, they’re playing the Colts. But I have my reasons.
Keep reading to check out my best bets for this weekend’s slate.
(All times ET)
THURSDAY, NOV. 21
Steelers @ Browns (8:15 p.m., Prime Video)
It’s the time of the year when weather becomes part of a handicap.
It’s supposed to be cold, rainy and windy in Cleveland on Thursday night. So it’s worth repeating the yearly reminder that windy conditions most impact the quarterback’s ability to throw the ball.
The forecast calls for 17 mph winds in Cleveland for Thursday night, and it would figure that, along the river, it’s a tad higher in the stadium. So that will impact the ability for both teams to air it out.
The Browns would rather not rely on Jameis Winston’s arm to win a game, so the ground game will be important to their success. Well, unfortunately, the Steelers are outstanding against the run, and if Winston is forced into passing the ball, the Cleveland offense will not have success.
On the other side, the Steelers do three things on offense: run the football, move quarterback Russell Wilson or have Wilson throw a patented moon ball. It will be hard to complete moon balls with the wind being that fierce.
So, I like both teams to run the ball, focus on establishing the line of scrimmage and have a low total.
Also worth monitoring is the kicking game. Bad wind could equal a few missed field goals.
PICK: Under 36.5 points scored by both teams combined
Can the Pittsburgh Steelers’ defense lead them to the Super Bowl?
SUNDAY, NOV. 24
Lions @ Colts (1 p.m., FOX and FOX Sports App)
Standing in front of the Detroit Lions’ freight train…
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Publish date : 2024-11-21 00:12:00
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