I knew it was going to be a fantastic week when I made the San Francisco 49ers a best bet to upset the Green Bay Packers, and then it turned out Brock Purdy’s shoulder issue was more serious than we thought. Then came the upsets. Entering Week 12, teams were 5-0 ATS as 10.5-plus point favorites. The Dallas Cowboys didn’t just cover the spread vs. the Washington Commanders, but upset them straight up.
This week is one of the best weeks in football, as not a single team has a bye. We get a Thanksgiving tripleheader, a “Black Friday” game, and of course, a full NFL Sunday as well. If you haven’t yet, take advantage of a sign-up bonus for new users with this BetMGM promo code so you can make money.
Here’s a look at what I’m thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.
All NFL sports betting odds courtesy of BetMGM.
Top-five picks ATS record: 24-30-1
Overall ATS record: 80-96-3
Straight up record: 110-69
Thursday, 12:30 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
Everyone knows the Lions have one of the best offenses in the NFL, but how about this defense? They haven’t allowed a single touchdown in each of the last two games! Detroit has lost seven straight on Thanksgiving, so you know Dan Campbell’s squad will be motivated to show out in front of its home fans as the Lions continue on their quest to clinch the No. 1 seed in the NFC.
Caleb Williams has looked much improved since Shane Waldron was fired. He’s completing 71% of his passes with 285.5 passing yards per game with Thomas Brown as offensive coordinator, and D.J. Moore has caught all 14 of his targets since the change in leadership. Still, this is Chicago’s first game on the road since Week 9, and the Bears haven’t won on the road all year. The Bears have also covered the spread just once away from Chicago this season.
Maybe the Bears will keep things close early, but I see the Lions running…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-13-picks-odds-spread-best-bets-cowboys-and-lions-cover-on-thanksgiving/
Author : Jordan Dajani
Publish date : 2024-11-28 10:00:00
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