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Geoff Schwartz
FOX Sports Betting Analyst
We’re past the Thanksgiving Day games in the NFL. And while the leftovers are gone, there is plenty of football left to enjoy.
With that in mind, I’m wagering on a few Sunday games, as we head toward Christmas and beyond.
Let’s dive into my best bets for Week 14.
(All times ET)
SUNDAY, DEC. 8
Saints @ Giants (1 p.m., FOX/FOX Sports App)
This is absolutely a fade of the New Orleans Saints.
A dome team on the road, in a cold weather stadium, after losing its best offensive weapon? Sign me up.
The Saints are 4-8 and are ranked 20th in overall team DVOA. Just a below average team with a quarterback in Derek Carr, who has the most losses for a starting quarterback through 11 seasons in NFL history. The Saints are already down a bunch of offensive weapons, and now they are without Taysom Hill, who’s been their offensive workhorse for weeks now. The Saints will just struggle to move the ball this weekend.
The Giants are horrendous and wagering on them will not be fun. But it’s absolutely the right side here. The Giants went to Drew Lock at quarterback, which gives them a better chance to win than Tommy Cutlets. The Giants do have some skill position players with talent and if they can get the ball in their hands, they should be able to score some points.
Five and a half points is just too much for the Saints in this spot. Take the ugly ‘dog.
PICK: Giants (+5.5) to lose by fewer than 5.5 points, or win outright
Herd Hierarchy: Seahawks fly to the Top 10, Broncos and Eagles move up in Week 14
Bills @ Rams (4:25 p.m., FOX/FOX Sports App)
The Buffalo Bills have won seven in a row and look like the most dominant team in the NFL. They just manhandled the short-handed 49ers on Sunday Night Football in a snow storm. The Bills are up to third in DVOA, and quarterback Josh Allen is the MVP favorite. Buffalo has wrapped up its division but can not take its foot…
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Publish date : 2024-12-04 15:36:00
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