The Fantasy Football Numbers Do Lie: Nick Westbrook-Ikhine might be having the flukiest season ever

A simple look at a box score or a study of fantasy football categories doesn’t always tell the whole story of how a player is performing. Dalton Del Don attempts to identify misleading numbers that are worth a closer look.

Yes … The Numbers Do Lie.

Meyers has beaten his ADP as the WR27 in fantasy points per game this season, but his usage gives him the upside to be a top-12 WR down the stretch. He owns a 40% air yards share and has averaged 9.9 targets since Davante Adams was traded, which would rank fourth on the season – behind only Malik Nabers (11.6), Cooper Kupp (10.4) and CeeDee Lamb (10.3). Brock Bowers has quickly emerged as the league’s best tight end, but Las Vegas’ offense has been extremely condensed.

A lack of touchdowns has hurt Meyers’ fantasy value, but he sports a 38% end zone target share without Adams and a previously tough WR schedule is about to become much more favorable. The Buccaneers have allowed the fourth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to WRs over the last five games, and Meyers’ TPRR (27%) and YPRR (2.63) both spike when his QB has been blitzed this season; Tampa Bay leads the league in blitzes. Aidan O’Connell threw for 340 yards (9.7 YPA) in Kansas City last week (while targeting Meyers 11 times), so there’s hope for the Raiders’ passing offense.

Meyers is a highly underrated receiver who might win fantasy leagues this year.

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Ridley averaged 6.4 fantasy points (WR71) in six games with DeAndre Hopkins this season, but he’s averaged 12.9 (WR13) over six games since DHop was traded (h/t FTN). Ridley leads the NFL in air yards (776) and has averaged 8.5 targets and 82.7 receiving yards over that span, but modest touchdown production has prevented a fantasy explosion. More red-zone looks would help, but teammate Nick Westbrook-Ikhine is on an epic TD…


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Author : Yahoo Sports

Publish date : 2024-12-05 16:04:00

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