College Football Playoff bracket: Does Arizona State or Boise State deserve a first-round bye?

No. 10 Boise State and No. 15 Arizona State are the first two conference champions to effectively lock up a College Football Playoff berth. The Broncos beat No. 20 UNLV 21-7 Friday night for the second win over the Rebels this season. The Sun Devils, picked last in the Big 12 preseason media poll, defeated No. 16 Iowa State Saturday afternoon, 45-19, to win the conference as a first-year member. 

But this has sparked an entirely new debate: which team deserves the first-round bye more?

Would the committee consider leapfrogging the Sun Devils ahead of the Broncos? It’s certainly a scenario for which Big 12 commissioner Brett Yormark and now Arizona State coach Kenny Dillingham have lobbied. For better or worse, that’s a part of the current CFP format — and will continue to be, as long as positions are determined by a selection committee sitting in a hotel conference room.

Arizona State’s primary argument is that, as a Power Four team, it played a more difficult schedule and should probably be forgiven for its loss to Cincinnati because it was without starting quarterback Sam Leavitt. For the record, ASU’s strength of schedule ranked No. 42 in Sagarin (part of the old BCS formula) and No. 72 by ESPN. Boise State’s SOS is No. 89 and No. 82, respectively, by those same metrics. 

Arizona State

11-2

42

2

BYU, Iowa State

Cincinnati

Boise State

12-1

89

1

UNLV (twice)

N/A

So, yes. Technically, Arizona State did play a more difficult schedule, but is the difference between the schedules truly significant enough to warrant ignoring that second Arizona State loss?

That’s the decision the committee will have to make.

Boise State’s argument centers on two wins over a ranked opponent (though both were UNLV) and the single loss being a three-point differential at…

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Author : Tom Fornelli

Publish date : 2024-12-07 21:41:00

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