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The college football postseason is a little different this year with the 12-team playoff, but it doesn’t change one indisputable fact — it’s bowl season, and that means it’s time to pick some winners.
For the ninth year, I am employing my “Quality Game” system to help me pick the bowl games and the playoff games. Who is going to win the SERVPRO First Responder Bowl between North Texas and Texas State? What about the Duke’s Mayo Bowl between Virginia Tech and Minnesota? I don’t know and you don’t know. That’s where the system comes in.
I run every team’s schedule through my “Quality Game” algorithm. A team can get a point total ranging from 3 (a road win over a ranked team) to -3 (a blowout loss to an unranked team) for each game. Add up all the games a team plays and that’s their QG score. The team that scores higher will be my pick to win the game. Pretty simple. But what is a “Quality Game?”
I’m looking at how many times when the team took the field did they play well. A QG can be a 40-point win over an unranked team or a 3-point loss to a ranked team, both get you 1 point. A narrow win over an unranked team? That will get you -1. I like to compare it to a Major League Baseball pitcher. I’m finding a college football team’s ERA, not their win-loss record.
The scoring system
3 points: A road win over a ranked team
2 points: A home or neutral win over a ranked team
1 point: Lopsided win (21 or more) over an unranked team
1 point: A narrow loss (8 points or less) to a ranked team
0 points: A regular win (9-20 points) over and unranked team
0 points: A regular loss (9-20 points) to a ranked team
-1 point: A narrow win (8 points or less) over an unranked team
-1 point: A lopsided loss (21 points or more) to a ranked team
-2 points: A loss (20 points or less) to an unranked team
-3 points: A lopsided loss (21 or more) to an…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/picking-winners-39-college-football-010731770.html
Author : The Desert Sun
Publish date : 2024-12-11 01:07:00
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