Answering the NFL’s biggest questions entering Week 15: Are Texans in danger of losing AFC South lead?

This past week was a fun one. The Kansas City Chiefs clinched the AFC West for the ninth straight season with the “doink for the division,” the Buffalo Bills fell another game back of the Chiefs after losing a shootout to the Los Angeles Rams and the Tennessee Titans failed to score a single touchdown against the worst defense in the league, which took the Jacksonville Jaguars out of position to “win” the No. 1 overall pick. 

Last week we discussed how the Carolina Panthers should roll with Bryce Young in 2025. He had another solid outing vs. the Philadelphia Eagles, and threw what could have been a game-winning touchdown that was dropped by rookie Xavier Legette. This week, I’d like to talk about the division race that’s getting no attention, and then who is for real in the NFC West.

1. Are the Texans in trouble of losing division?

Maybe I can’t pick every game correctly, but one thing I’ve done a good job with this year is addressing topics that people aren’t talking about for one reason or another. As I discussed two weeks ago, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were +400 to win the NFC South. Now, they lead the division and are -250! Let’s talk about the other “South” for a minute, because I don’t think most people realize how close the AFC South race is. 

This is a two-team race between the Texans and Indianapolis Colts. The Texans sit at 8-5 while the Colts are 6-7, and Houston has already swept the season series vs. Indy as well. BetMGM currently has the Texans listed at -3000 to win the division, and the Colts at +1100. Are those odds fair? Have you looked at the remaining schedules for these two teams?

As you can see, the Texans’ remaining schedule is much tougher. Tankathon lists it as the 11th-toughest remaining schedule in the NFL, while the Colts have the third-easiest remaining schedule. The way I look at it, this conversation we’re having is meaningless if the Colts lose in…


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Author : Jordan Dajani

Publish date : 2024-12-11 13:50:00

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