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After 13 weeks of the 2024 NFL season, the Jacksonville Jaguars appeared to have an excellent opportunity to land the No. 1 overall draft pick for the third time in five years. They were one of three teams with a league-worst 2-10 record and had lost quarterback Trevor Lawrence for the remainder of the campaign due to a concussion and a shoulder injury that required surgery.
Granted, the teams remaining on the Jaguars’ schedule wouldn’t have any opponent quaking in its cleats, as they had a pair of meetings with the Tennessee Titans ahead in addition to matchups against the Las Vegas Raiders, New York Jets and Indianapolis Colts. Those four clubs entered Week 14 with a combined 14-35 record, while Jacksonville was in the midst of a five-game losing streak.
Things were looking good for the Jaguars in Tennessee last Sunday as they trailed the Titans 6-0 after three quarters. But they scored on their first two possessions in the fourth and came away with a 10-6 victory, severely damaging their chances of stepping up to the podium first at the 2025 NFL Draft in Green Bay next April.
According to the SportsLine Projection Model, Jacksonville saw its prospects of finishing with the No. 1 overall pick fall from 13.6% prior to that win to just 4.72%. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception, now says the most likely outlook for the Jaguars is that they conclude the year with five victories (37.90%).
With the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders both sitting at 2-11 and likely coveting quarterbacks in the draft, finishing with the third overall pick might suit Jacksonville just fine. Lawrence, who was the first No. 1 overall pick in franchise history back in 2021, figures to be ready for the start of the 2025 season and would be thrilled to have a target in the form of Travis…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2025-nfl-draft-order-projections-jaguars-unfortunate-win-plus-how-each-no-1-pick-contender-could-finish/
Author : Scott Erskine
Publish date : 2024-12-12 19:18:00
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