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A simple look at a box score or a study of fantasy football categories doesn’t always tell the whole story of how a player is performing. Dalton Del Don attempts to identify misleading numbers that are worth a closer look.
Yes … The Numbers Do Lie.
Jahmyr Gibbs’ RB4 rank is a lie
Gibbs averaged 23 touches, 132 yards from scrimmage and 0.67 TDs over three games without David Montgomery last season. He’s averaged 124.3 total yards and scored six touchdowns over three games in which Montgomery left mid-game this year. Gibbs has been a great draft pick, but he’s about to become a league-winning one as fantasy’s RB1 down the stretch with Montgomery out.
The Lions are dealing with a bunch of injuries, but their offense remains highly potent having scored 74 points over the last two weeks. Dan Campbell has “a ton of confidence” in Gibbs handling a bigger workload, and he gets a Bears’ defense Sunday allowing the fifth-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to running backs over the last five weeks.
Meet fantasy’s new RB1.
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Brian Thomas Jr.’s WR16 rank is a lie
Thomas Jr. has been fantasy’s WR2 over three games since Jacksonville’s bye, and he owns the eighth highest first-read target share (37.5%) over the last month. BTJ nearly had a massive performance two games ago, and he almost scored three touchdowns last week. Moreover, Thomas Jr. was fed eight screens last week, which tied for the most in a game to a wide receiver this season. Thomas Jr. boasts the fifth-highest utilization score since Week 11, and he’ll continue to benefit from Christian Kirk, Gabe Davis and Evan Engram all being out.
The rookie wideout has and will continue to be hampered by quarterback play, but his season long fantasy rank is also misleading thanks to a chest injury he played through. Thomas Jr. recorded the best yards per route run mark (2.81) by a rookie WR since 2001 before…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/the-fantasy-football-numbers-do-lie-brian-thomas-jr-is-so-much-more-than-his-wr16-rank-163012470.html
Author : Yahoo Sports
Publish date : 2024-12-19 16:30:00
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