NFL News NFL News, Reports and Updates
Quarterback
Start: Michael Penix, Falcons
We’re doing it again with Penix. The Falcons’ team total sits at 28 points. They get a Carolina defense that ranks 31st in EPA per dropback allowed and has given up the third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. Atlanta dialed up an extremely conservative approach in Penix’s first start, logging a -11% pass rate over expected with an aDOT of 5.7 for the rookie. Both numbers shot up last week. Atlanta logged a much more palatable -2% PROE and Penix’s average target depth was an aggressive 12.7.
Don’t miss episodes of Fantasy Football Happy Hour with Matthew Berry and Rotoworld Football Show all season long for the latest player news, waiver wire help, start/sit advice, and much more.
Start: Joe Flacco, Colts
Anthony Richardson is out again, giving Flacco what is likely his final start with the Colts. Expect him to sling like he always does. Flacco ranks 10th in deep throw rate (13.5) and 13th in intermediate throw rate (22.6 percent) this year. The Jags are terrible at defending these throws. They rank 31st in YPA (12) and 27th in explosive play rate (37.8 percent) allowed on throws 10+ yards downfield.
Sit: Caleb Williams, Bears
The Bears have a 15.5-point implied team total this week. There are at least 10 teams starting a backup quarterback with a higher implied team total. The Packers rank fourth in EPA per dropback allowed and have given up the third-fewest fantasy points to opposing passers.
Sit: Geno Smith, Seahawks
The Seahawks have mostly given up on their fun, pass-heavy approach. Since Week 11, their pass rate over expected sits at a perfect zero. It was at +4% through 10 weeks. Geno’s numbers, in turn, have plummeted.
genobad2.png
The decrease in volume hasn’t resulted in better efficiency either. Smith’s YPA and touchdown rate have both fallen over the past month and change.
Running Back
Start: Michael Carter, Cardinals
The Cardinals will be without James Conner, Trey Benson, and Emari DeMercado…
Source link : https://sports.yahoo.com/fantasy-football-week-18-start-203648007.html
Author : NBC Sports
Publish date : 2025-01-03 20:36:00
Copyright for syndicated content belongs to the linked Source.
