Blue-Chip Ratio 2025: These 18 college football teams can actually win the national championship

What does it take to win a national championship in college football? Culture, coaching, health, luck, but most importantly, talent. Height, weight and speed. The bounces of an oblong ball makes football unpredictable in a fun way. And it is needed, because a bigger, stronger, faster player beating on those smaller, slower and weaker than them produces boring predictable results.

But how much talent?

That’s the question I set out to answer more than a decade ago when I created the Blue-Chip Ratio.

Since its inception in 2013, the Blue-Chip Ratio has been referenced by head coaches, cited on every major college football network, and it has even made its way into EA Sports College Football. The calculation is simple, but the implications are significant. It’s one of the best tools we have for identifying which teams have the baseline level of talent required to win it all.

What is the Blue-Chip Ratio?

To win the national championship, college football teams need to sign more four- and five-star recruits than two- and three-star players over the previous four recruiting classes.

That’s it — that’s the threshold.

This has held true for every modern national champion. And while recruiting rankings aren’t perfect, they are extremely effective — especially when taken in the aggregate. And they are only getting better with the advancements in technology and data. A decade ago, for instance, it was not uncommon for about half of first-round picks to have been four- or five-stars. Now? It’s routinely 80%+. 

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Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/blue-chip-ratio-2025-these-18-college-football-teams-can-actually-win-the-national-championship/

Author : Bud Elliott

Publish date : 2025-07-17 14:00:00

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