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The blue-chip ratio isn’t a perfect science, but it remains true that each of the last 14 NCAA champions has a roster comprised of at least 50% four- and five-star talents.
Bud Elliott of CBS Sports invented the stat over a decade ago, and it has remained a popular projection tool for identifying which teams are true contenders entering the regular season. While any team has a chance to make the College Football Playoff, only 18 have the blue-chip ratio necessary to finish on top.
Florida finds itself in a three-way tie for No. 11 on the list, alongside Auburn and Miami, with a 64% blue-chip ratio. Sixteen of the 26 class of 2025 signees are rated four stars or higher, which is just below the four-year average used.
Billy Napier might have signed his first top-10 class, but the BCR trend says he’s relying a little too heavily on three-star talent to buff the numbers. Signing one or two fewer three stars would have helped the BCR over the next four years, but the potential of adding an undervalued recruit is too high for Napier to ignore.
2025 Blue Chip Ratio Top 18
Alabama: 89%Ohio State: 89%Georgia: 84%Texas A&M: 82%Oregon: 78%Texas: 78%LSU: 73%Notre Dame: 73%Oklahoma: 70%Penn State: 68%FLORIDA: 64%Miami: 64%Auburn: 64%Michigan: 57%USC: 57%Clemson: 55%Tennessee: 54%Florida State: 54%
How has this stat performed in the past?
2024: Ohio State won it all with the highest BCR of any NCAA Champion since 2011 at 90% blue chips.2023: Michigan won it all with a 54% mark.2022: Georgia took home the title in dominant fashion with a 77% ratio.2021: Georgia had an 80% BCR and won it all, beating the No. 1 BCR team, Alabama, in the title game. Three of the four CFP teams were BCR teams; Cincinnati was the first party crasher since 2017.2020: Alabama had an 83% BCR and won it all. All four CFP teams were BCR schools.2019: LSU won it…
Source link : https://gatorswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/gators/football/2025/07/19/florida-football-recruiting-2025-blue-chip-ratio-cbs-sports/85292690007/
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Publish date : 2025-07-19 21:14:00
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