Wisconsin football win total projection from notable analytics leader

🏈PRESEASON AVERAGE WIN TOTALS v1🏈

Here are the results of 10,000 sims of the college football regular season, based on my preseason priors.

Everyone’s got to start somewhere, here’s where I have all 136 teams starting this fall. pic.twitter.com/DTiB3nGI1X

— parker fleming (@statsowar) July 21, 2025

The calendar is just days away from reading ‘August,’ which means it’s time for final preparation before the 2025 college football season.

One notable milestone in that preparation is Big Ten media days, which are currently taking place in Las Vegas, Nevada. Wisconsin coach Luke Fickell and player representatives quarterback Billy Edwards Jr., cornerback Ricardo Hallman and center Jake Renfro all spoke on Wednesday. Here is further coverage of their comments.

Another important stage of the season countdown is updates to various power ratings and projection models. One leader in that regard is Parker Fleming (@statsowar on X), who released his model’s projected win totals for every Football Bowl Subdivision team on Monday.

Wisconsin’s projected win total: 5.2.

Meanwhile, Wisconsin’s Big Ten schedule includes games against Ohio State (10.1 projected wins), Oregon (10), Indiana (8.6), Michigan (8.4), Illinois (7.6), Washington (7.3), Iowa (7.2) and Minnesota (6.2). Of course, each team’s schedule heavily weighs into their projected final record. But in Fleming’s model, eight of Wisconsin’s nine Big Ten opponents are projected bowl teams, with three potentially representing the conference in the College Football Playoff.

Wisconsin’s projection of 5.2 wins falls in line with the consensus. ESPN’s Football Power Index projects 5.6 wins for the Badgers, while most sportsbooks hold their line at 5 1/2. We at Badgers Wire are a bit more optimistic — we picked a 6-6 record for Luke Fickell’s team with wins over Miami (Ohio),…

Source link : https://badgerswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/badgers/football/2025/07/25/wisconsin-football-win-total-projection-analytics/85359805007/

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Publish date : 2025-07-25 10:30:00

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