ACC football picks, predictions: Projections tab SMU to make College Football Playoff, Miami to miss out

Despite getting smoked by Georgia in the opening game of the 2024 college football season, the Clemson Tigers went on to win 10 games and the ACC conference championship to secure a spot in the College Football Playoff. The Tigers are the favorites at top sportsbooks to repeat as conference champions and get back to the 12-team bracket, though Miami, SMU and a few other challengers will be looking to dethrone them in 2025. Here’s a look at our best ACC futures bets for the upcoming season based on projection model simulations and the corresponding value offered by oddsmakers.

ACC best futures bets 

Best win totals

Miami Under 9.5 Wins (-145, Hard Rock)

Miami won 10 regular season games last season, but the Hurricanes are essentially swapping a game against Ball State for a game against Notre Dame this year. We think Miami will take a step back without Cam Ward and we also think in-state rivals Florida State and Florida will be tougher competitors this season. Bet on Miami’s win total at FanDuel here:

SMU Over 8.5 Wins (-115, DraftKings)

This ties into our Miami play, as we like SMU’s chances to beat the Hurricanes at home more than the oddsmakers. SMU returns a good amount of production from last year’s 11-1 team. The Mustangs play Clemson on the road, but they get Louisville and Miami at home, as well as Baylor during the non-conference schedule. Sign up for DraftKings to bet on SMU’s win total here:

Duke Over 6.5 Wins (-175, DraftKings)

This play is juicy, but Over 6.5 wins for Duke is as high as -210 in other books. The Blue Devils have a lot of 50-50 games on the schedule, but they also only have one game (at Clemson) where they are winning in less than 30% of simulations. Darian Mensah could very well be an upgrade at quarterback over Maalik Murphy.

NC State Under…


Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/betting/news/acc-football-picks-predictions-projections-tab-smu-to-make-college-football-playoff-miami-to-miss-out/

Author : Jacob Fetner

Publish date : 2025-08-12 20:06:00

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