ESPN released their initial FPI rankings back in June, but updated it today 👀
With the update, Miami dropped from #9 to #17 and Clemson dropped from #11 to #16.
With little to no change for either team over the last two months, ESPN’s system slashed the metrics of the ACC’s… pic.twitter.com/VCVuknYum1
— CFB Kings (@CFBKings) August 16, 2025
It’s always interesting to see how a formula plays out a college football season, and ESPN’s Football Power Index has been updated with new metrics for Notre Dame and other teams across the country.
Starting off with how the FPI views the Irish’s chances to win more than 6-games is a virtual lock, as they have a 99.9% chance to that happening this fall. Not surprising at all, but what was is the fact that Notre Dame has the best chance at going undefeated this fall, with a 7.4% chance of that happening.
Only two other schools have a mark over 5%, as Texas and Penn State have solid chances of an undefeated season according to their FPI’s metrics. They predict that the Irish will go 9.8-2.2 this season, which is virtually 10 wins.
As for making the College Football Playoff, their formula has Notre Dame with a 55.6% chance to make the 12-team field. It’s not the best, but only a few schools (Georgia, Alabama, Ohio State, along with the Longhorns and Nittany Lions) have a better percentage. This means that the Irish are a virtual lock to making it for the second-consecutive season.
Like their chances to make the CFP, the Irish trail the same teams to make the championship game at 12%, with a 5.4% chance of winning it all. These numbers will change over the course of the season, but as the No. 6 ranked team in the FPI, we should expect another excellent season from Notre Dame.
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Source link : https://fightingirishwire.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/fighting-irish/football/2025/08/18/notre-dame-football-college-playoff-chances-odd-espn-fpi/85704157007/
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Publish date : 2025-08-18 11:02:00
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