Best early NFL futures bets by Chris ‘The Bear’ Fallica

Chris Fallica

FOX Sports Wagering Expert

“Bear Bets” are real wagers that Chris “The Bear” Fallica is actually making.

I’ll keep it simple. With the NFL season finally upon us, it’s time to start making some bets.

If you read this space, you know I like to share picks at the prices I get them at, basically actionable bets that you can all make.

I have a couple of wagers I like, so let’s dive into some early NFL futures to get your money down on.

Tua Tagovailoa Over/Under 4,100.5 passing yards
Tua Tagovailoa Over/Under 25.5 touchdown passes 

Tua was healthy for an entire season last year for the first time in his career. The result was an NFL-leading 4,624 yards and 29 touchdowns. But will that be the exception and not the norm? 

In his first three years, Tua would have gone under 4,100.5 and 25.5 touchdowns every year. 

The Dolphins also have a bit of a disadvantage late in the season since they’ll be playing in some cold and bad weather games. 

This is a bet on Tua’s health, while also taking advantage of lofty numbers that may be from an outlier of a season. 

PICK: Tagovailoa Under 4,100.5 passing yards
PICK: Tagovailoa Under 25.5 touchdown passes

Trevor Lawrence to lead NFL in passing yards 

Lawrence threw for over 4,000 yards last year, despite missing a game and playing injured in others. He was also victimized by a fair number of drops by his receiving corps. 

The overall offensive unit will be better this season. The Jags overhauled at wide receiver, bringing in Gabe Davis and drafting Brian Thomas Jr. to go along with Christian Kirk. Travis Etienne is also a threat to catch the ball out of the backfield. 

Outside of a trip to Tennessee in Week 14, the Jags don’t play a game that isn’t in a dome or in Florida from Week 10 on. This means weather shouldn’t restrict Lawrence’s production. 

Ultimately, this will be a big year for Lawrence. Is he the generational quarterback talent people thought he was when he…

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Publish date : 2024-08-14 20:33:53

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