After a .500 week last week, we were back on the board with seven of the top 10 defenses correctly predicted again, including all five of the top five plays finishing in the top 10. The Broncos, Lions, and Steelers continue to emerge as defenses that we can play in almost any matchup because their floor is so high, and the Texans are starting to emerge as the feisty defense I expected them to be in the preseason, scoring at least nine fantasy points in their last three weeks.
It was interesting to note that only three defenses scored in the double-digits according to FantasyPros scoring this weekend, so it was a down weekend, and I kind of expect the same to happen this upcoming week. No one defense really stands out in my BOD formula this week, and we have a lot of fine but not great defenses in good matchups and a lot of good defenses in not-great matchups. It could be a week to just lean on safety.
I also should mention my regular philosophy against “set-it-and-forget-it” defenses. We love to give ourselves less work to do, so we find a good defense early on and then say we won’t look to add a defense again. That’s been the case recently with Vikings, who were an elite defense to start the season and also had their bye. However, the Vikings were exposed a little bit this past weekend. This is a good defense, but they lost a lot of pieces in the offseason and some of that loss of talent has shown up in the last few weeks. Over the last month, the Vikings are 8th in turnover rate but 16th in pass rush productivity grade, 16th in opponent’s scoring rate, 19th in EPA allowed per play, and 24th in sacks. I still believe they’re a good defense, but I’m not sure they’re the elite unit we thought they were a few weeks ago.
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As a final reminder, what you’ll get each week in this…
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Author : NBC Sports
Publish date : 2024-10-29 13:32:39
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