The NCAA transfer portal has not yet been in place a decade but its effect on college football is almost too difficult to measure. The portal, in conjunction with the ever-changing landscape of NIL, has come to define — for better or worse — the current climate of college athletics.
In analyzing seven years worth of transfer data as it relates to former highly coveted high school recruits, a number of trends have developed. Not surprisingly, quarterbacks transfer more often than any other position group. In fact, seven of 247Sports’ top eight quarterbacks in the 2023 recruiting class have transferred.
And while a transferring player might earn more playing time or collect a bigger paycheck somewhere else, the data suggests changing schools may negatively affect their NFL Draft outlook.
Non-transfers more likely to be drafted
Among players considered to be elite coming out of high school (Top247) who have had at least four seasons in college from the 2018 class and beyond, 307 have been drafted. Of those 307 draft picks, 61 of them were transfers.
Transfers from the 2018 through 2021 Top247 were drafted at a rate of 11.4%.
Non-transfers from the same Top247 classes were drafted 53.6% of the time.
Non-transfers also tend to be further ahead when it comes to being three-and-done college players. There were 25 former Top247 recruits drafted from the 2022 class this past April, only three of them (Travis Hunter, Walter Nolen, Matthew Golden) were transfers.
Also of note: Only two of the 199 multi-time transfers from the 2018 to 2022 Top247 classes have been drafted so far. Tyler Shough played for Oregon, Texas Tech and Louisville with much of his off-field movement coming as a result of injuries that led to others taking his job. Tyler Baron, meanwhile, did…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/study-finds-elite-recruits-see-drop-in-draft-odds-after-transferring/
Author : Chris Hummer
Publish date : 2025-05-27 16:46:00
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