We got our first taste of college football for the 2025 season with a five-game “Week 0” slate over the weekend, but the real action begins this week with a locked and loaded Week 1 schedule that begins on Thursday, Aug. 28. The Inside the Lines team conceived of, developed and powers the SportsLine model. The Inside the Lines betting system combines 1) our strongest projected values, 2) with relevant supporting trends and 3) pinpointed best lines and prices to identify our Best Bets. In a majority of cases lines move in our direction so you will want to ACT NOW before lines move and you lose value.
College Football Week 1 Best Bets
Boise State -6 (-110, BetMGM) vs. South Florida
Model: Boise State 37, South Florida 24
This line has actually moved in our favor from -6.5 to -6, but we don’t think it will move much further and could possibly go back in the other direction. Boise State was the Group of 5’s representative in the inaugural 12-team playoff last season, and while the Broncos don’t return Ashton Jeanty, they bring back almost every other key piece. Boise State has a history of developing elite running backs, and we believe that the Broncos can somewhat replace his lost production between Fresno State transfer Malik Sherrod and redshirt freshman Sire Gaines.
South Florida also returns much of its production from last season, but that might not be the best thing. USF’s defense ranked 99th in the country at nearly 30 points allowed per game. South Florida was also just 1-4 ATS at home in FBS games last season compared to 5-2 ATS away from home.
We expect Boise to have a significant advantage running the ball, to win the turnover margin, and we have the Broncos at four sacks compared to USF’s three. Lay the spread on Boise here.
Ohio…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/betting/news/college-football-week-1-boise-state-vs-south-florida-and-ohio-vs-rutgers-spread-among-thursdays-best-bets/
Author : Jacob Fetner
Publish date : 2025-08-24 19:49:00
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