The SportsLine Model was developed and powered by the Inside the Lines team. You can find all of our team’s picks and content at our blog, which has all our personal best bets for free. Last year when college football expanded to a 12-team playoff, the Inside the Lines Team led the industry in forecasting what teams would be selected by reverse engineering the oddsmakers’ model to determine the scenario and then using our model numbers to quantify that scenario.
Our power ranking system is based on the percentage of simulations each team wins against every other FBS team in the country on a neutral field in a simulated championship game setting. What you might see is two teams are neck-and-neck in the power rankings, but one team has a higher playoff berth percentage based on their schedule and conference strength. Here are some observations from the model’s latest projections ahead of Week 1 of the college football season.
Notre Dame can make another deep run
Miami and Notre Dame play in a big Week 1 game. While this has implications for both teams, Notre Dame has more on the line because the Irish don’t play in a conference. Both teams return similar production on both sides of the ball and have new quarterbacks, but Notre Dame was a playoff team last year while Miami wasn’t. If Notre Dame wins, the Irish have around a 78% chance in our model to make the playoff but if they lose, they have around a 28% chance to make the playoff. That is a huge swing. If you like Notre Dame money line (-137, FanDuel), you might as well take them at -164 to make the playoff too. Wager on Notre Dame CFP futures and Notre Dame-Miami at FanDuel here:
There’s value on Iowa State to make the playoff
Iowa State won a massive game in Dublin over Kansas State in Week 0. This is big…
Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/betting/news/college-football-playoff-power-rankings-notre-dames-fate-hinges-on-week-1-outcome-iowa-state-offers-value/
Author : Inside the Lines Team
Publish date : 2025-08-26 18:27:00
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