Could Texas, Georgia or Clemson miss the 2025 CFP? Odds each playoff team from a year ago fails to make field

We’re still in the early stages of an expanded College Football Playoff era, so much so that the final format hasn’t even taken shape. There’s a chance this year’s playoff will look different than last year’s, and there’s no doubt the 2026 format will change significantly after that.

The teams that will be in the bracket are what interest me, however. Will we see the same eight or nine teams making it every year, with a few newbies mixed in? Or will NIL, the transfer portal, and all the other possible changes on the horizon lead to an age of true parity that has the CFP resembling the NFL playoffs?

My guy says it’ll be the former, but I won’t rule out the latter. Either way, we won’t have enough evidence to make a decision one way or another for a decade, but I’m an impatient man. And an impatient man wants to make decisions now. I decided to look at last year’s 12-team field and break them down into tiers of how surprised we should be if they miss next season’s College Football Playoff. We’ll start with the highest level of surprise, and teams are listed in alphabetical order by tier.

Returning from the store to find Bigfoot sitting on your couch, in your robe, smoking a pipe

Ohio State

Another of my theories involving the expanded playoff era is that it will be damn near impossible to repeat as champion; any program that does will be a truly special one. Given all Ohio State lost off last year’s champions, it’s difficult to see the Buckeyes hoisting the trophy again. But they can.




Source link : https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/could-texas-georgia-or-clemson-miss-the-2025-cfp-odds-each-playoff-team-from-a-year-ago-fails-to-make-field/

Author : Tom Fornelli

Publish date : 2025-05-12 17:16:00

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