As teams compete for seeding and spots in the College Football Playoff, the strength-of-schedule drum gets beaten like a dead horse. It’s important to remember rule No. 1 when discussing strength-of-schedule: Your favorite team has faced a gauntlet while everybody else played cupcakes all year.
The SOS debate in college football is a unique one. With only 12 regular-season games, the sample size is small. The NFL sample size is small, too, but the playoff structure is independent of human debate. In college basketball, strength-of-schedule plays a large role in the NCAA Tournament invites, but it’s easier to separate teams when they play 30+ games.
In college football, you get 12 games to prove it.
Today, we’ll look at SEC conference schedules ranked by opposing win totals. No better number is better at distilling preseason expectations and quality than the betting market win total, making it a good way to evaluate expected strength-of-schedule.
With the SEC at 16 teams, there’s more SOS discrepancy than we had in the past. Here’s how the conference schedules stack up for the 2025 College football season.
Average Opponent Win Total: 6.22
Texas’s entire schedule isn’t a breeze because the Longhorns open the year at Ohio State, but Texas has a manageable conference slate. Texas plays at Georgia, but gets to face Vanderbilt and Mississippi State. The Longhorns also get a bye before the Athens trip. Texas will face Texas A&M in the comfort of its home stadium.
15. Tennessee Volunteers
Average Opponent Win Total: 6.43
Tennessee faces several teams projected to finish near the bottom of the SEC: Mississippi State, Kentucky, Arkansas, and Vanderbilt. The Vols meet Georgia and Oklahoma, with both games in Knoxville. The toughest game on the slate might be a road trip to Alamama.
14. Missouri Tigers
Average Opponent Win Total:…
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Publish date : 2025-06-29 12:02:00
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