One of the most common sayings in football is that the games are played on the field, not on paper, so predicting who will win a matchup or a championship is not always a perfect science. However, there are ways to determine who is best equipped to find success at the end of any given season, which has been refined over the years.
One of the methods that college football fans have come to love is the Blue-Chip Ratio, which, in essence, looks at a team’s roster in any given year and determines how many players are considered blue-chips — ie, former 4-star or 5-star players.
Over the years, the Blue-Chip Ratio has been a valuable tool in predicting, at the very least, which teams are capable of winning it all, as eight of the past 10 national champions have had a BCR (Blue-Chip Ratio) of at least 60% or higher. Six of those 10 champions had a BCR greater than 75%. The outliers were the Clemson Tigers in 2016 (52%) and the Michigan Wolverines in 2023 (54%).
In 2024, the Ohio State Buckeyes achieved the highest BCR in the metric’s history at 90%, and they went on to win the national championship.
While the BCR may not determine who will win it all, it does indicate who has the talent necessary to compete for a championship. If your team is above 50%, a championship is possible; if your team is above 75%, then you’re in a great spot to compete.
So, where do things stand now as we prepare for the 2025 college football season? Let’s take a look:
Based on the numbers, Oregon is in a great spot entering the 2025 season, with the fourth-highest BCR in the nation, tied with the Texas Longhorns. This aligns with the betting markets, where they have the fifth-best odds to win the championship this season.
While the Ducks’ roster is stocked with talent, much of it remains unproven at this point, with dozens of young players who were…
Source link : https://duckswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/college/ducks/football/2025/07/17/oregon-ducks-football-2025-blue-chip-ratio/85262035007/
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Publish date : 2025-07-17 20:38:00
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